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~requested~
http://backpack.tf/item/911099394
Sale 1) Sold for 45 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021383012#!/compare/1461369600/1461456000
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http://backpack.tf/item/1798759386 - Duped
Sale 2) Sold for a Cloud 9 Soldered Sensei (30 Keys) + Circling TF Logo Defiant Spartan (20.5 Keys) + Pro KS Vintage Kritzkreig (~6.5 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087962998#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600
30 + 20.5 + 6.5 = 57 Keys
Soldered Mini
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793444#!/compare/1459987200/1460073600 - 30 Keys
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http://backpack.tf/item/429420914 - Duped
Sale 3) Sold for 47 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034312547#!/compare/1460937600/1461024000
Sale 4) Sold for a Blizzardy Yellow Belt (Barely Outdated at 29.5 Keys) + Memory Leak YWN (Barely Outdated at 23 Keys) + Blizzardy Private Eye (18 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086247757#!/compare/1460937600/1461024000
This Sale is an Outlier, but supports a raise.
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Given the Duped sold for 47 Pure in Sale 3, I'm ruling Sale 1 an Outlier.
That being said, I'm not using Sale 3, because 47 Keys is less than the current price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28046182 - Seller for 52 Keys (Clean)
45 doesn't seem like an outlier. I'd probably bet the 57 sale had a buyout of 50 if it was listed anywhere.
The 52 seller has been selling for 2 months, so even the current price might be a little high.
http://i.imgur.com/7XRNqIv.png
Yeah, I think it's more indication that there isn't a huge price difference on cleans vs the dupes here. I would probably just give this a wide range.
You'd suggest 45 - 57 then?
Yup