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Resuggesting, thanks to http://backpack.tf/u/76561198116262699 and http://backpack.tf/u/76561198081201910 for the help. ;)
5 month old price, only one recent sale and nothing on bp.tf and Outpost.
Sold for: Burning Flames Medic's Mountain Cap (62-70 keys) + Spec. Ks. Aussie Medi-Gun (33 keys) = 95 - 103 keys, rounding to 100:
https://gyazo.com/23597ced097afd9b4afa01d171953ec9
https://gyazo.com/df06ed720a9fed27d09ad1baa7cc3257
https://gyazo.com/a361dce67b0ed00a8d630044bb955c88
I was who told you to round up to 100, but eh, i just get a dislike.
Whoops, there we go ^^
Eh, I dunno about this one.
Another sale:
Sold + miami noble [outdated 32] and 20 keys for a PE cannonball (~115)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085956941#!/compare/1461974400/1462060800
That's significantly lower than this
its probably low since he was actively using for a HCB
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28124269
but before that, he had been selling for over a month at 90:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27896673
Theres also a fairly old trade for a scorching geisha + 20 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085956941#!/compare/1455955200/1456041600
Geisha is just outdated, and has a seller at 55, at which that sale would be 75.
Due to that seller for 90 for a while, I feel like this'll need a range at least. The cannonball sale will be ~60 but as said, thats probably low since the seller was actively looking for that cannon, and likely overpaid for it.
Id personally want to see another sale to see if 100 is an outlier or not
Yeah, 100 flat is probably going to be too high here