Suggestion: Mann Co. Supply Crate Key at 18.44–18.55 ref - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~57.22 ref

98 votes up

24 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 11 May 16 18:57:43 +0000 by Puddilicious.

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Comments

I've got to formulate a plot, or end up in jail or shot.

Success is my only motherfucking option – failure's not.

First key suggestion. Wish me ~~plagues and a slow, horrible humiliation~~ luck! :D

Huh, I honestly thought I'd see at least 20 pages on Outpost for these tyes of suggestions.

Buyers at 18.33 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27745231- 18.33 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28150654

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27697944

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27623733

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27791070

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25788259

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26798861

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28056894

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27745231

http://bazaar.tf/trade/1124443

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27546363 - 18.44 ref

http://bazaar.tf/trade/1124443

Sales at/above 18.33 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28020751 - 18.33 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27879054

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25463293 - 18.44 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28121618

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28056894

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28073896

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28151114

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28149099 - 18.55 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25718541

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27975519

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27791070

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27623733

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27931874

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28138783

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28150654 - 18.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28050765

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28151821

Classifieds

http://i.imgur.com/uXJLgv8.png

http://i.imgur.com/BKISoxx.png

http://i.imgur.com/dWkk023.png

http://i.imgur.com/IP3GeIk.png

http://i.imgur.com/3r065WA.png

Sell Orders:

x1 at 18.22 ref

x16 at 18.33 ref

x24 at 18.44 ref

x10 at 18.55 ref

Buy Orders

x10 at 18.44 ref

x23 at 18.33 ref

Conclusion:

A myriad of buyers at 18.33 ref, so that should be removed from the range. Additionally, every trade at that price seems to be invalid (poorly bumped, unbumped, and/or has Escrow). 18.44-18.55 ref seems to encapsulate the common trading points with sales and sellers.

Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.

Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ﾉ

question ... is the 15 day cool-down in effect for pricing under a reclaimed change? just a question. seems a fair bit of proof. I noticed even when I did the last one for 18.33 there were a few buyers creepin in at that amount so I'm not overly surprised in any case.

Oh dang I completely forgot about the cooldown xd I just checked, it's actually 7 days for a reclaimed or below.

ya, i couldn't recall what the concensus was about that. might wanna wait till the weekend :)

18.44 is quicksell in almost every bot site, you can even find 18.55 buyers. not incredible but fair amount of proofs. upvote

only 1 seller on classies below 18.33, rest at 18.33 or above, lots of buy orders at 18.44-55, upvote i guess

My bot have sold several keys at 18.66 refined. ->

1 key: https://gyazo.com/f01ac443eb5c97e5b9a1505f83874649

4 keys: https://gyazo.com/488da6ba4d1014a8ae47c88788594cba

2 keys: https://gyazo.com/74e2cd5b98b92478429e20c86ec29c85

1 key: https://gyazo.com/53c827f1d3edeb77291e5294e64855cb

1 key: https://gyazo.com/3ec850400b666a71ff3c7a2eda4841a1

1 key: https://gyazo.com/c38ea04839d5090e644fb3352be1c6c2

All of the trades below is trades with the same guy.

1 key: https://gyazo.com/7e4a873389fc53fd8ab84f7485d75898

1 key: https://gyazo.com/2ad03d98dbe4456495f39728e02aacac

1 key: https://gyazo.com/5c9abc6a1d085fe95bb7f1959edfa899

1 key: https://gyazo.com/0cea2ea87abfc637b021abc3d15673ce

1 key: https://gyazo.com/2734f78d7cb4b534e5a893c71a4fbea3

1 key: https://gyazo.com/c6f358b78807625c5dc79d1cd283c7ef

18.44 - 18.55 is a good range, just though this would be relevant :)

I approve! =P