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Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28155979 - b/o: 120 keys (young)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27678395 - b/o: 160 keys (4 months)
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27714394
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002774740#!/compare/1459468800/1459555200 - sold for 80 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053413362/#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600 - sold for Scorching Flames Soldered Sensei = 108 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28117126
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047573393#!/compare/1462752000/1462838400 - sold for 78 keys
Quite sure it did not sell for that sensei. The 'seller' in that trade is the one you linked as selling at 120. He sold it on the scm for ~275€
http://imgur.com/GE3w2SB
thats ~125 before taxes and ~110 after taxes. You can cap that sale at his BO of 120 (high end of the scm sale is slightly above that, and the average of buyer pays/seller receives is ~118, which is roundable to 120). You can redo this at 80-120 (or 78-118 if you dont like rounding)