Two of the five of these have moved in the last three months, the rest haven't moved this year. Sales are listed in reverse chronological order for each of the two hats (Sale #1 is newest, etc.). Showing every sale, even where I couldn't determine a value from them or they weren't usable. Used sales are in bold, unused sales are in italics.

Several bulk or quick sales, relying on the two most recent that weren't

__________

HAT 1: http://backpack.tf/item/4256714107

This hat is fresh, hadn't been indexed before March 8th. Its only mostly-usable sale was used for the last update, but I'm putting everything here anyway for completeness.

Sale #1, March 10:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107138670#!/compare/1457510400/1457596800

Buyout 137: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27940807

Sold for:

--Screaming Tiger Meet the Medic (90)

--Poisoned Shadows Slick Cut (70)

--4 keys? (History doesn't show, but buyer BP was not very regularly indexed, and username is weirdly similar. Doesn't end up mattering.)

= 137 or 160-164?

This was used to reprice the hat last time. Buyer had the hat for less than a day, but it didn't count as enough of a quicksell apparently. Sale is exactly two months old and still valid.

Sale #2, March 8-9: 80, QS less than a day

b/o 80 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27934290

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107138670#!/compare/1457337600/1457424000

Sale #3, March 8: Bulk?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754#!/compare/1457337600/1457424000

Barely even registered in Pan Wiaderko's

Sale #4, March 1-3: Bulk?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754#!/compare/1456819200/1456992000

Huge trading volume. Looks like it may have been acquired as part of a backpack purchase since most of the hats had not been indexed before?

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HAT 2: http://backpack.tf/item/2031457540

The other one with sales this year, and more recently.

Sale #1, May 10: Bulk, bought as part of backpack by me

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083922186#!/compare/1462752000/1462924800

Sale #2, April 20:

b/o was 150 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28089117

Seller side: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092472594#!/compare/1461110400/1461196800

Buyer side: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083922186#!/compare/1461024000/1461196800

Items actually involved:

http://i.imgur.com/sSYZanD.jpg

Stare From Beyond Ballcap (80) + C9 Nunhood (90) + ~4 keys sweets (S. Pro. Ax ~1, Pro Ubersaw (TS/Fire Horns) ~1.5, S. Lib ~0.2, S. Flashdance footies ~1.3) ----> Stormy 13th Gentleman's Ushanka + Strange FN Autumn Stickybomb (~8) + Strange FN Balloonicorn Flame (~18)

Autumn sticky: Sells for $19-22, or 7.5-8.5 backpack conversion, 7-9 seller receipt at 19-buyer cost at 22

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Autumn%20Stickybomb%20Launcher%20%28Factory%20New%29

Balloonicorn flame: Same one later sold for ~18 keys (14+S. Huntsman)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060469796#!/compare/1461628800/1461888000 (metal that moved in that snapshot was used for crafting, see the histories of the added hats)

80+90+4 = X+8+18

= 148

Sale #3, April 12:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131994315#!/compare/1460332800/1460419200

Sold for:

--Spec Aussie Black Box http://backpack.tf/item/2153767078

(~18, sellers at 18 http://i.imgur.com/YawrAb8.jpg , still price of base aussie at time of sale)

--Miami Professional's Ushanka http://backpack.tf/item/3344872870

(~65, 1/1, price was in-date at time of sale, but see mini)

--Cool Pro. FT Blue Mew Rocket Launcher (duped) http://backpack.tf/item/4415744556

(~60, see mini)

The Current Event doesn't appear to have been involved based on histories, nor the other stuff.

I could call the Ushanka 2 keys lower or the Rocket 2 keys higher (see their minis), either way it ends up at the same price.

18+65+60

= 143

And that's it! No other sales this year.

_______________________

MINIS:

MINI 1:

Miami Professional's Ushanka:

1/1, http://backpack.tf/item/3344872870

Current listing:

--"looking for CS:GO offers" http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28089223

Prior listings:

--no b/o: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28062797

--85 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27936314

Sale #1: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076373375#!/compare/1459641600/1459728000

--Sold with 10 keys and Strange MW Rainbow Sniper Rifle (~47, see sub-mini) for DBD Cotton Head (120)

= 63

Close enough to 65 to support that price, and my 63 estimate is based on much less reliably-priceable sales, frickin' sniper rifle. I'm just going to use the old price, which was in date at the time. The rocket rounding makes up for it if you'd really prefer to use 63.

USHANKA MINI SUMMARY: 65

Sub-mini, Strange MW Rainbow Sniper:

Market: No current listings, but backpack.tf's most recent market scrape pulled a listing at $97, so ~40 keys, but since it's gone that probably sold. (screenshot of scrape: http://i.imgur.com/qKOum2u.png )

= 40?

Sale #1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019864333#!/compare/1462665600/1462752000

http://i.imgur.com/DtWXhCO.png

Taking backpack's market estimates for each, we're two minis down.

Strange MW Pro. Night Owl (~22.5)

Strange FT Pro Woodland Warrior Rocket (~31)

Strange Deep Cover Operator (~3.5)

+ 5 keys

= 62

Sale #2:

Sold for Pro Strange Cardbeard + 2 keys (at least 47):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012830318#!/compare/1460937600/1461024000

= 47+

Sale #3:

Sold for Hot MW Blitzkrieg Medi Gun + 2 keys (about 47):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012830318#!/compare/1461196800/1461369600

Seller then listed the medi gun for 45, taking that as its price. Might be lower.

= 47

SNIPER SUB-MINI, SUMMARY: 40, 47, 47+, 62, calling it 47.

MINI 2:

Cool Rocket

Pricing unusual weapons is a pain in the ass, but since cool is one of the two lower-tier effects, market sales are usually not too far off. This exact rocket just sold on the market, but I can't see what it actually went for, because there aren't any matching market listings. Fortunately, have a non-market sale for a non-pro version of that weapon:

Non-pro non-duped sold for C9 Towering Pillar (32) and C9 Lucky Shot (30)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082670244#!/compare/1462406400/1462665600

= 62

Market more or less supports (festive makes no difference in value):

Professional (festive):

Market:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Festive%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Blue%20Mew%20Rocket%20Launcher%20%28Field-Tested%29

(screenshot in case listing is removed) http://i.imgur.com/yo3Lpoa.jpg

Two sales, 3/1 and 3/3, at $102 and $172, or ~40 and ~69 keys by backpack conversion.

Non-professional (festive):

Market:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Festive%20Blue%20Mew%20Rocket%20Launcher%20%28Field-Tested%29

(screenshot in case listing is removed) http://i.imgur.com/aIoh2TX.png

Two sales at $125 (~50 keys), and 10 keys is roughly what a pro rocket kit adds in value

ROCKET MINI SUMMARY: Rounding to 60 keys

TL;DR: I should not have tried to price this thing.

One listed at 137 sold immediately for 160+ in item value, then followed by more recent sales at 143 and 148. Calling the first sale a quicksale, particularly since it sold for so much, and using more recent sales.

Quick update, no additional sales, March 10th (137 key) sale will be older than three months in a couple days.

I've put in almost no effort to actually get offers on this thing myself, as usual.