Sale 1:

Sold for 38 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28036235 - B/O of 38

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053172418#!/compare/1461628800/1461801600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197981054697#!/compare/1461542400/1461715200

X = 38

Sale 2:

Sold for Vivid Plasma Bullet Buzz + Pro. KS Frying Pan Kit

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068248647#!/compare/1462320000/1462579200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194800630#!/compare/1462492800/1462579200

X = 37

Sale 3:

Sold for Nuts Hat With No Name + Potassium Bonnet

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28076757 - B/O of 35

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501#!/compare/1461628800/1461715200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155591052#!/compare/1461542400/1461715200

X = 35 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for Nuts n Bolts Hard Counter + 27 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28136716 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067586587#!/compare/1462233600/1462320000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068248647#!/compare/1462233600/1462320000

Sale is around ~36 keys, which would fit in the range.

Sale 5:

Quicksold for 33 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092471230#!/compare/1460073600/1460160000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142133147#!/compare/1460073600/1460160000

X = 33

Sale 6:

Sold for Aussie Knife

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265#!/compare/1455868800/1456041600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1455955200/1456041600

X = 24

Sale 7:

Sold for 25 keys

No Outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102256825#!/compare/1460592000/1460678400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501#!/compare/1460592000/1460678400

X = 25

Sale 8:

Sold with Strange Spec. KS AWPer Hand for Duped Memory Leak Tossle Cap

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26631646 - B/O of 47

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298516#!/compare/1459468800/1459641600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045626914#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600

X + 8 = 33

X = 25

Sale 9:

Sold for Peace Hallmark + Miami Stout Shako + 10 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27721145 - Deleted B/O. Why.

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040350300#!/compare/1457938800/1458284400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197979916407#!/compare/1457938800/1458284400

Sale would be valued at around 55 keys. Calling it an outlier.

Sale 10:

Sold for Smoking FR-0 + 7 keys + 12 keys in items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057883825#!/compare/1456905600/1457683200

There were probably other items involved, but I don’t see them here. Excluding unless proven that these were the only items in the sale.

Sale 11:

Sold with 10 keys for Steaming Rotation Sensation

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28057290 - B/O of 35

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045626914#!/compare/1459641600/1460160000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145746210#!/compare/1459900800/1460160000

Should be used to update the Rotation

Sale 12:

Sold with 10 keys for Vivid Your Worst Nightmare

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032093741#!/compare/1457683200/1457769600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053172418#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000

Should be used to update the Nightmare

Sale 13:

Sold with ~6 keys in items for Haunted Ghosts Crocleather

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077077233#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200

Should be used to update the Crocleather

Mini’s:

Tossle Cap:

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Runner’s Warmup + 4 keys

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1458864000/1458950400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045626914#!/compare/1458864000/1458950400

X = 33

Buyers:

27 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28095577

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27508358

30 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26632023

Sellers:

35 keys:

http://puu.sh/oPfmE/babee76db8.png

38 keys:

http://puu.sh/oPfnU/73e60a7640.png

40 keys:

http://puu.sh/oPfpp/23d10402ce.png - 3 months

http://puu.sh/oPfq5/8117969294.png - 3 months

http://puu.sh/oPfrj/eea47eae1a.png

http://puu.sh/oPfrQ/f0a4fc3e9d.png

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28157322

All sellers on classifieds are “Clean”. Haven’t checked the Outpost one, but it shouldn’t matter.

Sales at:

24

25

25

33

35

~36

37

38

+50

Sale at +50 keys is an obvious outlier.

Sales at 24 and 25 are too low, due to buyers at more than the sale values.

Sale at 33 ‘quicksold’. Excluding 33.

Going with 35-38