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Sales:
1) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123097664#!/compare/1462406400/1462492800 - bulk
2) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142438504#!/compare/1462320000/1462406400 - only a few keys match, unclear
3) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156585015#!/compare/1462147200/1462320000 - bulk
4) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156585015#!/compare/1462060800/1462147200 - sold with an aussie knife (24) for a DBD Hallmark (41)
x=17
5) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135966781#!/compare/1461974400/1462060800 - unclear
6) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199830590#!/compare/1459555200/1459728000 - 1:1 with a duped Strange Orbiting Fire Private Eye (20)
Mini on Strange P.E - http://puu.sh/oQj5X/6911fe86a0.png
------
Sales at 17 and 20.
Counter/Supporting proof is appreciated!
I wouldn't use a sale like #4. If the hat you're trying to price makes up a smaller percentage of the sale's total value than any other item involved, or less than half of the value on one side, there is a good chance its value is being skewed because it isn't the focal point of the trade.
Anyways, some other things:
Sale #1 is Vivid Western + 2 pure for a Peace Sign Ol Snaggletooth, and there is another sale of the Western + 1 pure for a Smoking Yellow Belt:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083286148#!/compare/1462320000/1462406400 - The Western was in and out of the backpack in under a day which is why it doesn't show up, but the history matches both
http://backpack.tf/item/4681836937 - Western
http://backpack.tf/item/3507465587 - Belt
http://backpack.tf/item/4707552108 - Croc
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123097664?time=1462406400 - Croc seller after (the key here is also the key involved in the Belt sale)
Wasn't the hat ~50% in sale #4? Also, I'll check out the other sale.
edit:
1) Vivid Western + 2 pure for a Peace Snaggle (23)
Mini on snaggle - http://puu.sh/oQvIX/5f820e8af6.png
x=21
2) Vivid Western + 1 pure for smoking yellow belt (21)
x=20
I'll resuggest.