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Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28144214 - 4 Keys (Pink Paint) - 6 Days (Unbumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28163544 - 4 Keys (Gold Paint) - Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28095274 - 3 Keys 16 Ref - >3 Weeks (Unbumped for 5 Days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28160817 - 3 Keys 9 Ref - 1 Day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28150362 - 3 Keys 7 Ref - 5 Days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28159217 - '2 scrap less than bp.tf' - 1 Day
Classifieds:
http://imgur.com/a/fe18H
x1 3 Keys 7 Ref
x1 3 Keys 7.66 Ref
x1 3 Keys 9 Ref
x1 3 Keys 13.33 Ref (15 Days unsold)
x1 3 Keys 14 Ref
x1 3 Keys 14.77 Ref
x1 4 Keys (Gold Paint - 12 Days unsold)
SCM supports the drop with most recent sales around ~$7.5 (~3 Keys)
Conclusion:
Seller unsold for 5 Days at 3 Keys 7 Ref (~3.4) with various unsolds above, up to 2 weeks, taking a flat range of 3.4 Keys