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~250 keys
burning
Unusual Danger Burning Flames
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Let it ride


sale 1

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096389539#!/compare/1462665600/1462752000

sold for a GBH TC (365) + Ether Trail Prehistoric Pullover (210)


x=575


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sale 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28006092

Sold for a Phantasm Law (319) + Vivid plasma headsplitter (125)


Headsplitter mini:

B/O of 150 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27981135

http://imgur.com/a/8Gq6x = ~125


Mini on law:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058662819#!/compare/1462147200/1462233600

Sold with ~6 in sweets for a frostbite cotton (325)


x=444


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sale 3

Sold with Ghosts Connoiseur (50) for GE TC (350) + C9 Juju (28)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070566817#!/compare/1458716400/1458864000


Mini on Juju:

http://puu.sh/oYFmx/706967013d.png


Mini on TC:

http://puu.sh/oYFnK/7ce309c3e6.png


x+50=378

x=328


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sale 4

Sold for Ghosts Ground Control (115) + Peace Rotation (outdated 70)

-likely missing something

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27987953 B/O 380 keys

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069884729#!/compare/1458777600/1458864000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192740165#!/compare/1458777600/1458864000


----

sale 5

Sold for a Secret Samur-eye ~315 keys

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122047130#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200


Unclear of samur-eye price actually... not using

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sale 6

Sold with Knifestorm Shaman for Cloudy Shaman (can't use)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161231249#!/compare/1454832000/1454918400


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sale 7

Sold with stuff for Burning TC (can't use)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027097747#!/compare/1454400000/1454486400


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Sales at 328, 444, 575. 575 seems high, going with 330 - 445


creds hugh + k13 + mother

    Mah proof :P

    Would love to see a new GE TC suggestion, Foamy's one was incredible.

      Are you implying that you want me to make a GE TC suggestion and match Foamy's quality? xD


      edit: Maybe one day..... not yet :p

      That range is cancer

        What's your alternative?

          Not saying it's wrong, I mean sales Are sales, but it rly big

        Just to note all these sales are from the same hat and my sale (575) is the only recent one for over 40 days .

        also the hat was at SweetStakes.tf and the guy who got it had 07% chance ! so it has been quickselling as you can see in sale 4 and sale 3 .


        If you gonna use my sale you should put it at 500 since that was the B/O


          do you have proof of the b/o?

            Well he had the b/o at first and removed it .

            http://imgur.com/s0lLWMZ

              Not sure if that counts

                seeing that he removed it, it doesn't look like he was willing to sell for 500 anymore therefore the sale can be valued at 575 making it an outlier

                  So the only recent sale (40 days in between) and for the same hat is an outlier now , ah ok :(

                    even if they weren't as recent, they are still within the 2 months period and therefore are valid

                      Ok sorry for the spam i just want to understand this system and make sense out of it .

          Another sale here for a GE mancer (~145) + hearts rack (~180) + grail spirits (~50) (I rounded the values; the taunt is slightly outdated but should be close to that)

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754#!/compare/1465171200/1465257600

          thats ~370


          The GE TC has been accepted at 375, at which the low sale is ~355.


          Also, in sale 4, the item you're missing is this:

          http://backpack.tf/item/2436560769


          That resold for a duped scorching ballcap + GE bonk

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069884729#!/compare/1460160000/1460246400

          based on that, that sale total caps at his BO of 380, but the actual value fo that sale would have been higher.


          As for the 575 sale:

          Yes, that would need to be capped at 500. It has been for sale for a month at 500; again, the real value of that sale is way higher than the BO, and the BO was already way higher than all other sales. It is safe to say 575 is indeed an outlier.


          I would say this can be redone at 355-445.

            alright, i'll check it out later tonight or tomorrow