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Unusual Killer Exclusive Death at Dusk
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Right. Lets have a look-see.

Added another sale.


SALES:

Sale 1:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27973528

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044431210#!/compare/1463443200/1464048000

Sold for:

Hearts Patriot (222.5)

Duped Moon Hoodie (Outdated at 100, mini at 90)

Hearts Grenadier (27)

Planets Luchador (Outdated at 17, mini at 15.5)

= 355


Sale 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129335801#!/compare/1463702400/1463875200

Sold for Hellfire Cotton.

= 300


Sale 3:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28154072

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044090116#!/compare/1463097600/1463184000

Sold + 2 Spec Aussie FaNs (~26) for:

GE Bonk Boy (165)

Beams Rebel (Outdated at 160, mini at 135)

PE Whoopee Cap (52)

=326 (rounding to 325)


Sale 4:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28001782

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036591954#!/compare/1463616000/1463875200

Took almost two months to sell for 280 pure.


Sale 5:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28124868

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072945055#!/compare/1462406400/1462492800

Sold for Ether Pullover (210) + OF Viewfinder (120) + Scorching Tree (130)

= 460 - outlier.


Sale 6:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28166393

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096389539#!/compare/1463788800/1463875200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155401451#!/compare/1463788800/1463875200

Duped Scorching Modest (Mini at 350) + loads of little stuff (more than 50)

= B/O of 400


Hoodie mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28180701

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062931434#!/compare/1463616000/1463702400 Duped Scorching Milkman + keys

??? Taking B/O of 90


Luchador mini:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081934208#!/compare/1463961600/1464048000 11 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28197293 B/O of 20.

11 feels quicksellish, 20 feels high. Averagingggg?

Using 15.5.


Rebel mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27910282

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076738954#!/compare/1459209600/1459987200

Sold + 50 keys for Eldritch Pullover (185)

= 135. Using 135.


Duped Modest mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28173170 B/O of 348, sold for don't know


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176090951#!/compare/1461974400/1462060800 Like 450? 500?


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28191310 Current B/O of 350. 350 seems the common selling point.


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sales at 280, 300, 325, 355, 400, 460. Calling 460 an outlier based on B/O, and using 280-400.

Let it ride.

    As regards to my purchase of the hat. The person i got it from was very interested in my hats, he prices the peak at 250 as 3-3 other people were selling it at that amount. I also believe that the grenadiers softcap is outdated as i priced it at 40 keys as 3 other people were selling for that amount. By my calculation i payed around 400 in unusuals for it.

      Okay. By backpack.tf calculations it's 355. Cheers.

        So we should go by bp.tf even if its outdated?

          It isn't outdated. Cheers.

        Low-end support, more or less. Cheers :P

      lol the range though

        What about it? :P

          I dunno mang, it feels low. Whatever I shall not defend the drop since I don't own one +1 vote

        BO on 280 sale was 300, maybe 300 - 400 would be more appropriate since he sold it for cheaper and there's already a sale at 300?

        I bought the hat for 280 pure with the intention to make a good profit, and sold it the day after for more than 400. The range is too big, 280 must be out of it.

          Range isn't too big.

            The problem I see is that you have no proofs the buyout of 300 was for two months. And the very day after I buy it off of him, I sell it for the "appropriate amount". And I sold another, that you won't consider for reasons foamy still hasn't explained, that supports a solid 400 (for others: this + harvest company for the searing cardbeard cutthroat).

            I made a 35% profit in one day because I bought it for 280. I don't see 280 as being valid here.

              You have no proof it wasn't. This is all conjecture.

              Gonna use other sale to improve cardbeard suggestion. Cheers.

              I mean, it is kinda big :P

          Sold mine for SBTWC BoA(350) + 100 pure = 450

          but my B/O is 390 pure

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28212498

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118621402#!/compare/1464480000/1464739200


          bought this hat (quicksell) for 260 pure + pro aussie blutsauger(13) = 273 (maybe outlier)

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28209810

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118621402#!/compare/1464307200/1464480000

          note: I quicksold showstopper square dance for 185 pure in the same day.

            Cool, more or less support for both ends. Cheers :3

            Just bought one for 425 from http://backpack.tf/u/76561198083783079

            With: Dark Blaze Nun Hood(290) + 70 keys + p fetti bonk boy(65)

            This should not go through, the one outlier quicksale of 280 does not comply with other sales. Also that cotton is very underpriced, shouldn't be 300

              Those unusuals may need an update, 280 didn't quicksell, and even if they don't need an update B\Os makes your sale an outlier.

              Thanks but no thanks.

              Looks solid, upvote

                Honest question as I'm trying to get into unusual pricing, wouldn't 280 be an outlier considering all the sales above 300 and only one below?

                  http://puu.sh/pzIYd/104d9d7694.png - Seller at 300 keys since 11 days, also with a total of 4 sales here at 280-300 keys, it's clearly not too low. 400 seems possible in items tho, so it's fair to include that one as well.