I was happy with my sale at 15 keys until I saw 5 sales for higher :/

Sale 1:

Sold for Australium Ambassador

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064244552#!/compare/1460505600/1460592000 (couldn’t get decent compare link here)

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072383246#!/compare/1460592000/1460678400

X = 17

Sale 2:

Sold for 16 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28153717 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1462752000/1462838400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066259901#!/compare/1462752000/1462838400

X = 16

Sale 3:

Sold for Smoking Baker Boy + Bill’s

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28162497 - B/O of 16

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1463270400/1463356800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098978630#!/compare/1463356800/1463443200

X = 16 (Rounded)

Sale 4:

Sold for Peace Sign Hot Rod

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28179297 - B/O of 16

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124615050#!/compare/1463702400/1463788800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029910109#!/compare/1463702400/1463788800

The Hotrod then sold for 16 pure in less than a day. (using this as a mini)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124615050#!/compare/1463702400/1463788800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092615798#!/compare/1463616000/1463788800

X = 16

Sale 5:

Sold with 9 ref for Searing Gatsby

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28190713 - B/O of 16

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117574214#!/compare/1464134400/1464220800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099540356#!/compare/1462838400/1464220800

X = 16 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 6: (Dupe)

Sold for 15 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28210706 - B/O of 15

Seller (hey, that’s me!): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1464566400/1464652800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249563892#!/compare/1463788800/1464652800

http://puu.sh/pfe7E/5ee7dc34be.png

http://puu.sh/pfedq/255731b8c3.jpg

X = 15

Sale 7:

Sold for 14 keys? In about a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28188550 - B/O of 16, Buyer offers here

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029910109#!/compare/1463788800/1463875200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117574214#!/compare/1463788800/1463875200

X = 14

Sale 8:

Sold for Dead Presidents Rimmed Raincatcher + 2 keys + 2 keys in metal/items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28048162 - B/O of 14

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072506491#!/compare/1459900800/1459987200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213366708#!/compare/1459900800/1460073600

Should cap at B/O, there are buyers at 9 keys for any effect on the raincatcher

X = 14 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 9: (Dupe)

Sold for 13 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082405680#!/compare/1459641600/1459728000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263360913#!/compare/1459468800/1459900800

X = 13

Sale 10: (Dupe)

Sold for Blizzardy Glengarry

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28153402 - B/O of 13

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113330154#!/compare/1463184000/1463356800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225445292#!/compare/1463097600/1463270400

Sale would most likely cap at the B/O here. If not, it can be considered an outlier.

X = 13 (Capped by B/O?)

Sale 11: (Dupe)

Sold (to me) in less than a day for 13 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987017396#!/compare/1464307200/1464393600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1464307200/1464393600

http://puu.sh/pfefT/1b65496272.png

http://puu.sh/pfegE/a3c4be5304.jpg

I had a buy order up, buying this for 13 keys at the time.

X = 13

Sale 12:

Sold for Blizzardy Familiar Fez

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168663581#!/compare/1462492800/1462579200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1462406400/1462492800

Should probably be used to update the Fez, Fez seems somewhat underpriced.

Sale 13:

Sold with 3 keys in items for Blizzardy Ze Goggles

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074726834#!/compare/1459900800/1459987200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072506491#!/compare/1459900800/1459987200

Should be used to update the goggles

Sellers:

16 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28202242 - 1 week, 3 days unbumped

Sales at:

13 (Dupe)

13 (Dupe)

13 (Dupe)

14

14

15 (Dupe)

16

16

16

16

17

Hey, at least I have the highest dupe sale

Probably best not to set a low-end with dupe sales, excluding 13

Going with 14-17