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sales just keep coming don't they?
sale 1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070536763/#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27980359 - sold for $280 (SCM, when buyer got the hat, it was untradable)
280/2.49 = ~112 (~96 after tax)
x = 96-112
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sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27888047
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041162643/#!/compare/1456732800/1456905600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070536763/#!/compare/1456819200/1456905600
Sold for: Scorching Hatte (150) + 10 pure + bliz bubble pipe (17) + 2.6 in sweets
x=180 (rounded)
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sale 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28086199 - sold for an AF cannonball (~162)
Should be used to update the cannonball.
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sale 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28116117 - b/o 200
150 pure + Australium RL (56)
x=200
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Sales at 96, 112, 180, 200. Going with 180-200
let it ride...
The way you formulated it here made it look like there were two low end sales, but its actually just 1. With that being only one low SCM sale, I think the suggested range is fine