- Forums
-
Pricing
- Community Pricing
- Pricegrid
- Spreadsheet
- Browse Suggestions
- Latest Changes
- Unusual Pricelist
- Browse by Item
- Browse by Effect
- Steam Community Market
- Market Pricelist
-
Trading
- Classifieds
- Classified Listings
- Utilities
- Calculator
- Premium Search
- Statistics
Hot Blitzkrieg Knife (Field-Tested)
Found a significantly better mini on the Brainiac. Resuggesting.
Sale 1:
Sold for an Orbiting Planets Brainiac Hairpiece and a Pool Party.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017279041?time=1464202863 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017279041?time=1464220800 after
Brainiac mini:
Sold for a Steaming Modest Pile of Hat and 5 ref.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088459363?time=1463702400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088459363?time=1463821469 after
Sale 2:
Looks like it sold for a Circling Hearts Gentleman's Gatsby.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181440027?time=1464373123 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181440027?time=1464393600 after
Not particularly sure so I'm not gonna use.
Taking 28 keys, middle of the road for the Modest.
like any new priced item you should really have 2 sales of value to see if they are close, and a third if they aren't to determine the outlier :S
I started looking into those sales, and whew. I'll just put what I found here instead of countering, so you can copy-paste most of this in your resuggestion at 32 keys.
Sale 1: You went to all that trouble for the mini, then forgot to add the value of the pool party! Middle value for the Modest is 28, making the Brainiac 28, and adding the pool party it comes out to 32.
Double checking, since a whole lot of other things moved at the same time in the backpack you're citing:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017279041#!/compare/1463097600/1464220800
I think based on the histories, you're probably right. Day of the sale, Olive moved these things out of backpack:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181440027#!/compare/1464134400/1464220800
But looks like they traded the Summer Hat and Pro Rocket for the Brainiac (solid profit there):
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198289932761#!/compare/1464134400/1464307200
Then moved the Brainiac + Pool to the seller you mentioned for the knife.
= 32 keys
Nailing down the second sale a little:
Several things moved:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181440027#!/compare/1464307200/1464393600
Looks based on histories that the Gatsby was the only one involved, but...
Closer check, seems like it actually sold for a C. Heart mirror, which was then immediately sold for the C. Heart Gatsby, based on the histories:
Gatsby: http://backpack.tf/item/3829716606
Mirror: http://backpack.tf/item/376224897
Gatsby/Mirror sale? http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163667841#!/compare/1464220800/1464393600
The current owner (who bought it in this sale) also has the knife listed at 37, which matches the month-old mirror price, suggesting that's probably accurate.
= 37 keys
There is another one of these knives that's been moving around, too:
Newly spec KS, shouldn't make a difference, doesn't appear to have been KS during the market sale
http://backpack.tf/item/4593196352
Most recent sale was on market, Crumblewood -> Schlangemann April 14-15:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038501770#!/compare/1460592000/1460678400
Listed on April 11-12:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066065032#!/compare/1460332800/1460419200
Wasn't spec KS last time it was seen in Crumblewood's backpack: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066065032?time=1460324878
So we can check the market. Two sales April 14th unfortunately, for $77.80 average. Just assuming it was the result of an incremental price war where they were about the same price and both got bought, that sale comes out to...
= 27.5-32 keys? Questionable because sale might be lower or higher.
Prior sale, The Doctor -> Crumblewood, 3/30:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066065032#!/compare/1459296000/1459382400
Based on histories, the bubble pipe wasn't involved.
Appears to have sold for:
G. Fetti Killer's Kabuto (20-22, not quite outdated)
Pro Strange Original (11-12: Community market at time of sale, $25-35 = 9-14, most ~$30)
= 32-33 keys
No others in-date, except for some professionals. That makes 3 sales at or around 32 keys, two of which are pretty solid, and one at 37. There is also a Hot FT Blitzkrieg knife currently on the steam market at $75.00 (27-30 keys) which all suggest that the 37 key sale is an outlier.