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Touchy range is to be expected with the new pricing of Skins
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28214706 Sold for 14 keys + KS Capper + 4.7 keys of paints
B/O for SMG was 20
X = 14 + 2.2 + 4.7
X = 21
X = 20 (B/O)
Keys + Trade http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065746354#!/compare/1464998400/1465084800
SMG http://backpack.tf/item/4542826336
Sale 2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1462838400/1462924800 41 keys, outlier, most likely bulk
Sale 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28240456 Sold for Lantern HWAH + S. WW Ballooni Flame + S. WW To Hell Knife
B/O for HWAH was 22
B/O for SMG was 30
X = 21 + 4 + 1.2
X = 26
HWAH http://backpack.tf/item/1242577882
Trade http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015703591#!/compare/1465344000/1465430400
SMG http://backpack.tf/item/4725655645
Mini for HWAH
Only recent sale is a Duped Twatt Wraith Wrap which is high and possibly bulk. https://gyazo.com/cff2ffefc4a2a4e9a25b7e0f373a8ecf 2x 21 keys, using 21
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28232588 20 keys
https://gyazo.com/e316840968b00e6d555087dacc1d15b4 1x 21 keys
Correction: Sale 1 did NOT contain 14 keys, it was 13 keys. Value equaled the buyout
Source of Error: The compare shows keys in rows of 9 instead of 10, i counted them as 10