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Heyho, my first sugestion, be gentle
So i bought this 1 of 1 Darkblaze Le party phantom for 280 keys~ overpay and think this would be a reasonable backpack.tf price
proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027768238#!/compare/1465430400/1465603200
Sold for a Purple energy bonkboy + a Scorching spartan + a beret with kill a watt
In my opinion its a reasonable price, i wont sell it easily anyway since i plan on keeping it but want it to be valued in my backpack.
There's no overpay rule, and you can't have a range with 1 sale.
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5752cc8f866747731e6cf589 Several more sales here, this is an outlier
This person has more proof and stuff than you, so I suggest putting your sales on his comments or whatever.
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5752cc8f866747731e6cf589
Edit: I just realized the guy above me is basically saying the same thing as me, but whatever.
Left a comment on the other suggestion:
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5752cc8f866747731e6cf589
Additional issues here are that you have a range with one sale. Single sales give flat values. However, multiple sales have occurred here, and there are too many lower sales to ignore here.
At this point I would either mini the duped hats to see what that sale would end up at, or qualify it either an outlier or supportive for a high end, and go with 172-240 based on the sales provided on the other suggestion, unless buyout caps are in play in any of those sales.