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Sale #1 (mine)
Sold with 10 keys for Burning Fed-Fightin' Fedora
x+10=200, x=90
https://gyazo.com/374aca15373a1aa2b5137271affe55a7
this is 1/2, another selling for 250 for few months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27825754 (still on his bp)
1 valid sale, using 190
There are quite some sales (some even by you), that you are ignoring:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118621402#!/compare/1464998400/1465084800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069980430#!/compare/1464652800/1464739200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095320741#!/compare/1464048000/1464220800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1464134400/1464220800
I'm sure that my other sale is outlier cuz he overpaid me a lot
I really forgot about duped beams cannon + c9 outta.
should I make a new one :3
You should take all these sales into consideration, they are all valid, overpay doesn't apply anymore, you should read this guide first though: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-guide-for-unusual-price-suggestions/