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Way, WAY out of date, but last suggestion did mention 40 keys pure, and this one actually has evidence of it (much later, but still!).
Hats that have moved:
Hat 1: http://backpack.tf/item/1818834827
Hat 2: http://backpack.tf/item/2551654371
All sales listed in order from youngest to oldest for each hat.
Sales (Hat 1):
40 pure:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127971615#!/compare/1462492800/1462579200
= 40
Prior two sales on this hat don't properly show up in the snapshots.
Maaaaaybe 28 keys, but very unclear. Quite a bit of other stuff moved.
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230758044?time=1461456000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230758044#!/compare/1461456000/1462406400
Buyer (totally useless):
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1461456000/1461542400
One before it, who knows:
Seller (10-day gap):
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130462794#!/compare/1460937600/1461801600
Buyer:
Whole bunch of stuff?
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230758044#!/compare/1460937600/1461024000
Sales (Hat 2):
Sale:
Bought off steam market:
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123100066#!/compare/1461888000/1462060800
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033058187#!/compare/1461715200/1461801600
Was sold approximately 4/29; unfortunately, 4 unusual cold killers sold during that period. No way to verify any of them without buyer/seller, though the average was $78.
Buyout was 40 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28090340
Sale:
Don't 100% trust this one, since it went back and forth a couple times (could be an alt?), but could be just traders that do a lot of business, and the numbers do seem about right.
TF Logo Cold Killer
+ KaW Master's Yellow Belt (30)
+ Cool WW Night Owl (60-62, http://backpack.tf/suggestion/57623e8183de6b0ece1c9223 )
+ Spec KS Aussie SMG (8 keys, selling/buying same as non-KS)
+ 2 keys
for
Smoking Virtual Viewfinder (136)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246546920#!/compare/1464048000/1464134400
= 35
Sale is considerably less trustworthy than the pure sale, using it as general support but not including in price.
Sale:
Sold with KaW Master's Yellow Belt (30) for Frostbite Front Runner (63)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246546920#!/compare/1464134400/1464480000
= 33
Sale:
Sold, again with KaW Master's Yellow Belt (30) and 2 keys...
for Duped Cauldron Bubbles Samur-Eye (90, wildly out of date)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125855246#!/compare/1464393600/1464566400
= ...It is a mystery
Summary: Sales at 33, 35ish, and 40, pure sale anchoring high end.
Still, would not be surprised if this can move for the high end more often, the two lower sales are a single trader's buy and sell.