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Sale 1:
Sold for DBD Bloke’s Bucket Hat (17.5)
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077466156#!/compare/1465430400/1466380800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135886515#!/compare/1466294400/1466380800
X = 18 (Rounded from 17.5)
Sale 2: (Spec. KS)
Sold for Stormy Geezer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28230353 - B/O of 16
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174946801#!/compare/1464998400/1465084800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037118614#!/compare/1464998400/1465084800
X = 15
Sale 3: (Spec. KS)
Sold for Strange Festive Spec. KS Rocket Launcher (with ~12 keys in parts)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28231774 - B/O of 15
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037118614#!/compare/1465084800/1465171200
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054139011#!/compare/1465084800/1465171200
X = 15 (Capped by B/O)
Sale 4: (Spec. KS)
Sold for 14 keys in less than a day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28144577 - B/O of 14
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290305633#!/compare/1462060800/1462579200
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294979893#!/compare/1462579200/1463184000
X = 14
Sale 5: (Spec. KS)
Sold for Spec. KS Aussie Tomislav + ~2 keys in items in ~a day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28210167 – B/O of 14
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159395092#!/compare/1464480000/1464566400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163266519#!/compare/1464480000/1464566400
X = 14 (Capped by B/O)
Sale 6: (Spec. KS)
Sold for 13 keys in about a day
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1459296000/1459382400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054213113#!/compare/1459382400/1459468800
X = 13
Sale 7: (Spec. KS)
Sold for ~7.4 keys in pure + a Burstchester (4.1)
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294979893#!/compare/1464393600/1464480000
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159395092#!/compare/1464393600/1464480000
X = 12
Sale 8: (Spec. KS)
Sold for Pro. KS Aussie SMG (9) + Bill’s (2.1)
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163266519#!/compare/1464912000/1464998400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155510093#!/compare/1464912000/1464998400
X = 11
Sale 9: (Spec. KS)
Sold for Aces Metal Slug (and a three-rune blade)
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054213113#!/compare/1462406400/1462492800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074718580#!/compare/1462406400/1462492800
Would rather have the slug updated with this sale
Seller at 18 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28244696 - 1 week, spec. ks
Buyer at 11 keys:
Sales at:
11
12
13
14
14
15
15
18
11 is too low, due to buyers
Sale at 13 sold a bit too quickly to be included in the range
The sale at 18 was a non-spec. ks sale. All other sales had a spec. ks kit applied to the gilded guard. Wouldn’t make sense to exclude all sales less than 18
The sale at 18 looks like an outlier here, but given how quickly most of the sales for less sold, I feel 18 should be included
Going with 14-18