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Sale 1:
Sold for Purple Confetti Milkman (16.5)
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084153073#!/compare/1464220800/1464393600
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116100132#!/compare/1464220800/1464566400
X = 17 (Rounded from 16.5)
Sale 2:
Sold for 11 keys + 4 keys in metal/painted cosmetics
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28164332 - Offers
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093983385#!/compare/1463616000/1463702400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086363434#!/compare/1463616000/1463702400
X = 15
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28179188 - Offers
Sales at 15 and 17
Going with 15-17