Counter. Anything above 40 is clearly too high, one look at the classifieds should tell you that.

SALES:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140468405#!/compare/1465171200/1465257600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050904212#!/compare/1465171200/1465257600

Sold for Spec Aussie Rifle (~31) + Pro CAPPER Kit (~5)

= 36

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28266332

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127018137#!/compare/1466467200/1466553600

Sold for DBD Conq (19.5) + sweets (~12)

= 32

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053717045#!/compare/1465689600/1465776000 Sold for Pro Aussie Wrench (~29) + sweets (~1)

= 30

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5750419583de6b02c01028c8 Credit to Blaze for the sales here. However.

https://gyazo.com/a9b1fb2b9de76e29b24351a7d6234ea0 current sellers are having difficulty even getting 40 keys. The sales above should not constitute part of the range. Capping high-end at 40.

Let it ride.