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This needs a drop.
Only a page of sellers on Outpost at time of posting.
Classified ads at the time of posting:
Page 1 - http://m.imgur.com/nNXKKHN
Page 2 - http://m.imgur.com/x3Fo0Mm
http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Festive%20Wrench&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1
1*7.75 keys (Has Killstreak)
1*8 keys (Has Killstreak, Sappers removed and Pumpkin Bombs)
1*8.2 keys
1*8.4 keys (Has Specialized Killstreak)
2*8.45 keys (1 has Killstreak and 1 has Specialized Killstreak)
1*8.5 keys (Has Specialized Killstreak and Pumpkin Bombs)
2*8.75 keys (1 has Killstreak and Sappers removed)
2*8.85 keys
4*9 keys (2 have Specialized Killstreak, 2 have Sappers Removed, 1 has Exorcism)
Unsolds at 9 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28263210 (Has Exorcism, ~2 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28298937 (Has Specialized Killstreak, ~5 days)
Unsold at 8 keys and 15 refined (~8.75 keys):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28301969 (~4 days)
Unsold at 8 keys and 9 refined (~8.45 keys):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28289907 (Has Killstreak, ~1 week)
Unsold at 8 keys and 4 refined (~8.2 keys):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28290858 (~1 week)
Unsold at 8 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28286375 (Has Killstreak, Sappers Removed and Pumpkin Bombs, ~2 weeks)
Seller at 7 keys and 15 refined (~7.75 keys):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28286375 (Has Killstreak, ~2 weeks old)
This is all I could find on Outpost that are valid at the time of posting this suggestion.
SCM supports.
Lowest valid seller at 8.2, any lower sellers would not show to the average user.
http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Festive%20Wrench/Tradable/Craftable/0
http://image.prntscr.com/image/45dfa336fa024d85bf195577a57ee2d6.png
All other sellers would not show up cause unless the person searching for the wrench went out of their way to use the classified search, which takes much more time, they would get the stats page, not the classifieds, and the stats page do not display killstreaked items.
You're basically basing your suggestion on a very poorly bumped outpost trade and the same persons invalid young listing, single seller is not enough here, you should choice a price that reflects the market, not one that reflects a single users outpost trade.
At first I would've stated that your proof is weak, then I saw that the seller is unsold for 2 weeks on OP, upvote. :D