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Three usable sales
About to go out of date, no usable sales from the previous suggestion.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239108732#!/compare/1460851200/1461024000
Sold for 450 keys pure.
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057422775#!/compare/1467936000/1468022400
Sold for a Beams Company Man(215), Frostbite Muffs(203), and a duped 13th Hour Fed Fightin' Fedora(70).
488 total, rounding to 490.
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1460851200/1460937600
Sold for a Duped Burning Beak(220), SBTWC Guttenkutteharen(60), GE Prof. Ushanka(233), and a Beams Ubersternmann(180).
693 total, outlier.
Duped Fedora mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057422775#!/compare/1465776000/1465862400
Sold for 68 keys pure and 2 keys in metal
70 keys total.
Beams Ubersternmann mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1463011200/1463097600
Sold for 180 keys pure.
Duped Burning Beak mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071493077#!/compare/1460937600/1461024000
Sold for a bunch of crap
Seems to be worth the same as a regular one, using 220.
Rolling with 450-490, open to constructive criticism.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069881436#!/compare/1468195200/1468281600 - also falls right into the range