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The sale:
Sold for Steaming Detective Noir + 10 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28302570 - B/O of 20
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732#!/compare/1467590400/1467676800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158915041#!/compare/1467590400/1467676800
Noir is outdated, however, it would have to fall under 10 keys to change the value of this sale, due to the B/O cap.
X = 20 (Capped by B/O)
No current sellers
Sale at 20
Going with 20