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sale 1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209237263#!/compare/1467590400/1467676800
sold with a hhhh (3) for mn conquistador (20.5) + aces steel shako (15) + kw wet works (19.4)
x+3=54.9 - x=51.9, rounding to 52. no b/o
wet works mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090502286#!/compare/1464393600/1464739200
sold for a stormy grenaders softcap (20) + 1 key
add to 21, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28202432 b/o was 19.4 keys, capping at that.
grenader micro:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090502286#!/compare/1464739200/1464998400
1:1 with a stormy attendant (20)
sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178985150#!/compare/1467244800/1467417600
sold for aces kiss king (40) + 5 keys
adds to 45
sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196685086#!/compare/1466899200/1467244800
seems to have sold for a demonflame bombing run (32)+ ~10 keys in sweets
adds to 42
bombing run mini
sold for smoking bonk boy (28.5) + 3 keys in sweets
adds to 31.5, rounding to 32.
sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144302129#!/compare/1467417600/1467763200
1:1 with a dp boa (66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28300363 b/o was 45, capping at that.
sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080284510#!/compare/1466121600/1466208000
1:1 with a aussie rocket launcher (48)
sale 6:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165881112#!/compare/1463184000/1463270400
1:1 with an aces federal casemaker (43)
wasnt used on the federal suggestion, so can be used here.
sales: 42, 43, 45, 45, 48, 52. I want to call 52 an outlier to make 45 in median, but 42-52 seems better.
Id have agreed with your reasoning to make the mean 45, especially given the actual items it was exchanged for in the 52 sale (i.e Id have seen 52 as more viable if it was 52 pure).
Either way, this is still better than current, and the difference is minimal, so this is fine.