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1 of 2 now!
3 recent sales.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064381517#!/compare/1461801600/1461974400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961465738#!/compare/1461888000/1461974400
1:1 for an Arcana Bomber(315).
315 total
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064381517#!/compare/1462665600/1462838400
1:1 for a Stormy 13th Hour Rotation(215).
Was used to price the Rotation, unusable.
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238890794#!/compare/1462838400/1462924800
1:1 for a Harvest Condor(215).
Was used to price the Condor, unusuable.
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28158854 - 2 month unsold at 270.
Rolling with 270 flat.
Thanks to Yuzen!
Your first sale is already mentioned in the last suggestion and was ruled out as an outliner: http://backpack.tf/suggestion/572b511ac44045799021200c (maximus' comment)
270 unsold 2 months proves it too. I don't think a raise is justified.
Yes I called it an outlier when I didn't realize the 2 215 sales are invalid. This should be fine.
Have to agree here. 2 months unsold at 270 with two sales that will both definitely be less than 270. 270 is too high.
Condor is currently being sold at 165. Last sale was this - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032228446#!/compare/1465430400/1465603200
Rotation: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010082723#!/compare/1468281600/1468368000 ~260 based on b/os
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010082723#!/compare/1468108800/1468195200 Under 200 for sure
Sale 1 is an outlier and shouldn't be factored at all. Best bet here might be to update this using minis for the condor and rotation. Might not be able to get a suggestion out of it but if the condor gets a wide range of 165-235 (mean of 200) and if the rotation gets a range of 180-260 (mean of 220), a rough range of 200-220 for the law sounds pretty good to me.