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'only usable sale' sure
countering because i found most of these sales.
sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200837735#!/compare/1465344000/1465516800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1465344000/1465603200
sold for the medi gun (60) + sf pro ks sniper (17) + sf pro ks rocket (27)
adds to 104. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28226659 b/o of 95 keys. capping at that.
medi gun has no availible mini, using current sellers b/o of 60 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28269543
sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010059325#!/compare/1464825600/1464912000
82 keys pure.
sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112753708#!/compare/1468713600/1468800000
sold with 7 keys in sweets burning robin (50) + duped c9 grenaders (29) + a key
x+7=80, x=73
robin mini
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108976844#!/compare/1465344000/1466035200
sold for 50 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107239584#!/compare/1467072000/1467158400
1:1 with a pe furlined fighter (50)
taking 50
grenaders mini
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198689581#!/compare/1467676800/1468022400
sold with 9 keys in sweets for dbd private eye (38)
x=29
sale 4: creds to ace
Only usable sale - Softcap for the GE Whoopee (50) + GE Tyrantium (60) + 16 keys [50 + 60 + 16] = 126
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112753708#!/compare/1466553600/1466640000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28222608 b/o was 95, capping at that.
sales at 73, 82, 95, 95. 73 might be an outlier but idk, leaving it in the range for now.
rekt
You said you were leaving my suggestion at 126 in the range, yet you did not. You completely left it out. I do not find it to be an "outlier" either. As for these others you researched:
Sale #1: My own purchase is not usable. Now if you think it is, please tell me where you come up with a price of "60 keys" for a commando grade, minimal wear medi gun? It is unpriced and there are not even any sales on the SCM for over 6 months. That is a rare item to say the least.
Sale #2 is listed as quicksell, and not usable: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28220783
Sale #3 I'm going to say this is the outlier. In fact, I'm not even buying this as a legit transaction. A duped 3rd gen softcap and a burning robin for a burning softcap? This is sort of a common sense. Either Kuruso really didn't know what he was doing or there was cash or something else involved.
At any rate, I find your suggestion to be much less plausible. I will check with the mods however.
He didn't leave the sale you used out, it's the last one.
However, 82 did quicksell, so imo it should be a refresh @95
For sale #1, pretty sure he got the 60 keys from here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28269543 For sale #2, you're right. For sale #3, 73 probably would be an outliner considering the softcap on sale #2 sold for a higher amount in pure in less than a week. For sale #4, your sale, there was a B/O placed at 95 keys. So, he had to cap at that. Seems he will have to re-suggest though.