Price Suggestion
~35 keys
flies
Unusual Patriot Peak Massed Flies
26 votes up
27 votes down
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This suggestion was closed by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

What a joke....


First sale thank you TemFortress2


http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5771d2e983de6b65982eedc7


35 Keys


Second sale Kazooie (Gent)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116187879#!/compare/1464393600/1464480000


35 keys


Third sale (My sale)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084491517#!/compare/1464739200/1464825600


45+10=55 keys


Figured out both unusuals are up to date to my shrugging.


Any other sales' let me know.

    this sale was approved more not saw had more / Upvote

      wait what? i have a bad case of deja vu... wasn't right last time, still 55 looks the outlier now too. you literally added nothing to prove the higher sale isn't the outlier :S

      downvoting... again

      The other suggestion was accepted in favor of this one for the reasons described here - http://backpack.tf/suggestion/57698f258667474112102e9a


      I'll let another mod have a look as well, but imo this should stay at 35 flat.

        It's 2 sales a 35. That's not conclusive evidence IMO. My trade @55 should be taken into account. I don't see why it's an outliner. There are bigger ranges on bptf with similar proof. I would appreciate another's mod opinion. Ty

          well here's a reason.... unsold at 40 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28243083 - relists at 35 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28367643

          clear like mud now? 55 was, and is the obvious outlier

            That was an offer at 40 per the seller not his buyout, but it was unsold. And now he's selling at 35 today AFTER the 35k suggestions was approved. So it's still muddy and strikes me odd you push so hard for 2 sales @35 in the face of a valid sale @55 and proof...

              well there's equall proof 1:1 that it doesn't sell higher. idk. I'm not pushing, just buyers aren't paying 55 is all

                Fair enough, I say let the mods review and see where they go.

                He listed at 35 keys before I accepted the suggestion. If you look at my comment in the other suggestion, I show that that listing was one of the reasons I accepted the suggestion at 35 flat.

                  And it sold the same day for 18ish in pure, I don't know anymore. Up too you. I made my case:)

          proof seems good.effect sucks and yet can go up while some burnings are going down.upvote :D

            From what Ive seen, there have been more than two sales at 35 (the ones in the suggestion and ones mentioned in its comment section). There was also a sale at 20.


            20 happened quite fast; one of the 35 trades had his trade up for two whole months before selling: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28043085 . with these sales, 1 at 20, multiple at 35, and 1 at 55, and the fact that 20 was fast and 55 was far over what it could not sell at for 2 months, I see this as a clear case, where 35 is the common trading point, and 20 and 55 both outliers. If anything, the values of those outliers being similarly far away from the set mean (which would result in the full range being really close to 35, i.e the range including the outliers would be 20-55, avg 37.5, which is very close to 35) support 35 as common trading point here.


            I do not see this as an improvement over the suggestion that was accepted yesterday.