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Sale #1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28266579
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148186873#!/compare/1466294400/1466553600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088707185#!/compare/1466467200/1466553600
Smoking Tsarboosh (13.5) + DP Big Elfin Deal (14) + ~1 key in other items
13.5 + 14 + 1 = 28.5 keys; B/O was 27 keys
Sale #2:
Quicksale for 17 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083063071#!/compare/1466208000/1466294400
Sale #3:
Sold with 3 keys for Ooze Scotch (outdated at 27-31 keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059711922#!/compare/1469059200/1469923200
No other recent sales for the Ooze Scotch, but using its old value would put the sale at 26 keys. This sale should be supportive.
Sale #4:
Sold with 5 keys for Searing Toque (outdated at 28 keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159262475#!/compare/1469923200/1470009600
Toque has a B/O of 24 keys here - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28389918
24 - 5 = 19 keys
Sale #5:
Sold for KaW Tartan Tyrolean (24 mini below)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133677583#!/compare/1466035200/1466121600
KaW Tartan Tyrolean:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28254216 - Seller of Tartan wanted 24 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133677583#!/compare/1466121600/1466294400 Sold for Time Warp Counterfeit Billycock (outdated at 28). The Billycock should easily be 24+ so the value of the Tartan should be around 24.
Which puts the Scotch at 24 keys from this sale since it was a 1:1 trade.
Sale #6:
Sold with 5 keys for Vivid Marauder (outdated at 27)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28211584
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1464998400/1465084800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147357690#!/compare/1465084800/1465257600
Using this to update the Marauder
Conclusion:
Sales are at 17, 19, 24, 26, and 27. Gonna exclude the lower sales and make a range of 24-27 keys.
There seems to be one other sale on the ooze scotch but I cant find it out. This can be used to update the ooze scotch as - because of that - this is the only tracable sale there
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28316892 it caps at 28