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Sale 1
~~
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061692611#!/compare/1465171200/1465257600 = 28 pure + 50 + 28 + 31 + 87.5 + 8 Sweets = 232.5
B/O
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28157999 = 250
~~
Sale 2
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069340528#!/compare/1466294400/1466380800 = 355 - 11 - 37.5 - 30 = 276.5 Rounding 275
~~
Sale 3
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118569123#!/compare/1471910400/1471996800 = 220 + 25 + 3 Pure + 12 Sweets = 260
B/O
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28432244 = 230
~
~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 230 - 275 key ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138577690#!/compare/1473724800/1473897600 - not usable
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118569123#!/compare/1473984000/1474070400 ~205
Minis for the space mann - 180-210
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28425198 - b/o 195 for a month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28463827 - b/o 180
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084218622#!/compare/1471996800/1472083200 - sale at 210
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28280940 - buyer in your sale 2 had a b/o of 250
275 is too high here. All the b/os are at 250 or less including that of the buyer. I would go either 205-250 or 230-250 if you can prove 205 is an outlier.