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Resuggesting with the wider range, as requested by polar.
http://imgur.com/a/zuW3O - Buyer paid $48.64, Seller got $42.30. Keys were ~$2.47 at the time.
48.64 / 2.47 = ~20 Keys
42.3 / 2.47 = ~17 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28367076 - Sold for 14 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28385356 - Bought for 12 Keys, Sold for 13 Keys.
While 13 and 14 sold quickly, there are more lower sales than the upper sale, so a wider range will be used.