Suggestion: Orbiting Fire Fortunate Son at 39–50 keys

Price Suggestion

~41 keys

o.fire

92 votes up

6 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 01 Sep 16 19:17:52 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Usable Sales:

Sale #1: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081642082#!/compare/1471478400/1471564800

Sold for a Purple Energy Hotrod (41.5 keys) + Duped Nuts n' Bolts Stately Steel Toe (9.5 keys)

B/O: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28363541 - caps @50

= 50 keys

Sale #2: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059119887#!/compare/1467504000/1469318400

Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Bunsen Brave (35 keys) + 3.5 keys pure

= 39 keys

Unusable Sales:

Sale #1: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088192753#!/compare/1472083200/1472169600

Sold with a Non-Craftable Strange RoBro 3000 (6 keys) for Catastrophic Companions

= 16 keys/Low outlier

Sale #2: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203307876#!/compare/1468627200/1468713600

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Tavish DeGroot Experience

~~Using this for the Vivid Plasma Tavish DeGroot Experience~~

Sales at: 16, 39, 50

If the sellers @45 mature I will cap the high end at that.

nice. glad this is finally gettin priced :) cheers m8

keep an eye on this to see if it sells - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28440771

Edit: didnt see you said somethin about it on bottom but link is here now ;p

Was mainly referring to the same seller on the classies (since he's older there) but yeah, seller has an OP trade too.

sold mine as a part of a bluk deal for a d@d mohawk.

young seller at 33 on classies. other 2 are at 43 and 45. 50 def seems the outlier.

Well, the vivid degroot has a mini at 32 here:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/57c2da018667476e79214a92

Sales here are

Sellers:

50 is most definitely an outlier here

I don't really see how the Degroot has a mini if the sales Mindacos provided on my suggestion are too old to use (I honestly don't know why you call these sales valid yet they are over 2 months old and there have been more than 1 - 2 sales in the last 3 months which means that criteria for using sales up to 3 months old are not met, mind sheding some light on that?)

I agree with 50 being the outlier though, yet I don't really know what to do here either, I could imagine a range of 32 - 39 with 16 and 50 being the outliers, however there's a 4 day old unsold @33, what should I do here?

The answer to the first problem is simple: the threshold is three months, not two. The two months rule is meant for hats with like 10+ sales, where the most recent ones should take precedence. Sales over 2 months old have been valid data points for as long as I can remember.

Yeah, a range of 32-39 can work here..

Alright, thanks for clearing that up. ^^