Ok, the last one for a while.

Sale 1

Sold for 29 keys + Strange Compatriot (mini at 2.5) + Bruiser's Bandana (~15 refs)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049825208#!/compare/1469923200/1470528000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141823815#!/compare/1470009600/1471132800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28264590 ----- No B/O, sale is confirmed here.

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Mini for the Compatriot: Sales around 2-3 keys, taking 2.5.

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Compatriot

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=======> 29 + 2.5 + 0.75 = ~32 keys

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Sale 2

Sold with an Aussie Knife for a Phosphorous Lucky Shot

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141823815#!/compare/1471132800/1471824000

No Outpost trade

Should be used for the Lucky Shot.

=======> Not using

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No other sales i can track.

Sellers

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28434615 ----- 30 keys

Summary

- Sale for 32, seller for 30.

Going with 30-32 keys. Criticism appreciated!