The judge gets into the train.

Sale 1

Sold for 19 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054540958#!/compare/1471737600/1471824000

No Outpost trade

=======> 19 keys

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Sale 2

Sold for a Strange SKS Festive RL (mini at 13) + 3 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053128310#!/compare/1470614400/1470787200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054540958#!/compare/1470700800/1470787200 ----- Keys appear here

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28383447 ----- B/O was 25 keys

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Mini for the RL: Sellers for ~13, taking 13

http://imgur.com/a/bqSbN

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=======> 13 + 3 = 16 keys

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Sale 3

Sold for a duped Miami Chieftain's (mini at 26)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053128310#!/compare/1469836800/1469923200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28374090 ----- B/O was 23 keys

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Mini for the Chief: Sold for a Peace Hotrod (16.5) + 8 keys + 4.6 keys in refs

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1470182400/1470268800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28383037 ----- Caps at the B/O of 26 keys

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=======> Capped at 23 keys

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Sale 4

Sold for a Cloud 9 Backbiter's (mini at 19)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180715845#!/compare/1469318400/1469491200

No Outpost trade

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Mini for the Backbiter's: Sold for 19 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285713524#!/compare/1470441600/1470528000

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=======> 19 keys

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Sale 5

Sold for a Power Surge Firewall (22) + SKS FT Red Roscoe Pistol (mini at 2.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1469059200/1469145600

No Outpost trade

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Mini for the Pistol: Sales have been all over the place. The non-ks version sells for ~1 key, so i'm gonna go with the sales for $5.65 and $8.5, which is around ~2.5 keys

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Red%20Rock%20Roscoe%20Pistol%20%28Field-Tested%29

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=======> 22 + 2.5 = ~25 keys

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Sellers

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28433402 ----- 21 keys for more than a week

- http://imgur.com/a/SUa3F --------------------- 23 keys for more than a week

Summary

- Sales for 16, 19, 19, 23, 25.

- Sellers for 21 and 23.

I will remove the high and low-end, cap 23 at the seller for 21, and go with 19-21 keys.

Criticism appreciated!