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Usable Sales:
Sale #1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1471996800/1472083200
Sold for 29 keys pure
= 29 keys
Sale #2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252075718#!/compare/1471564800/1471651200
Sold for 29 keys pure
= 29 keys
Unusable Sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1471651200/1471737600
Sold with <0.5 keys in sweets for a Death at Dusk Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet (43 keys, outdated)
= High outlier given the other sales and the unsold @37
second link shows no chieftains
That is because he resold it the day he bought it, forgot to mention that, https://backpack.tf/item/838675378 history of this Chiftain matches with the 29 keys removed from Teffy's inventory.
Sale 1 looks like it quicksold for 26 Keys: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1471996800/1472083200
Sale 2 was actually sold for 30 Keys: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044376350#!/compare/1471564800/1471651200
30 flat should work.
I think you are wrong about sale #1 here, buyer's compare shows 29 keys removed and all of the histories match, seller might've sold the keys instantly or sth, idk.
However I did miss the Summer Cooler Key in sale 2, range of 29 - 30 or still 30 flat? Or might this just be close enough?
I'm assuming you meant the seller's side on sale #1, but I took a second look at that. Yep, looks like 29 keys match.
I won't bug ya over a .5 change though, this should be close enough. :P