"Any hat can be priced based on a single sale if ALL these criteria are met:

- There are no other recent sales in the last 3 months

- The hat went to a collector or person who intends to keep the hat. A collector can be identified by looking at the person's trade history, item history of similar unusuals in the backpack OR if the owner has not resold the hat 1 month after the sale occurred."

Seller

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28364758 Month unsold at 60

Arguing that Amaranthine is worth 125 (*cough* overpriced *cough*) but I let you judge by yourself regarding the last sale which occured in March http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025506314#!/compare/1457856000/1457938800 \o/

Sale (credits to vCzK_)

http://i.imgur.com/n1jBhsF.png

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993826799#!/compare/1468972800/1469145600

Sold for duped Aces Cotton + key -> 43 keys flat price

Mini on Cotton ~ 42 :

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103821138#!/compare/1470268800/1470355200 KaW Muffs 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294189930#!/compare/1471478400/1471564800 Beams Topi 46

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104064829#!/compare/1468022400/1468108800 Steaming Sensation 43

Other sale wasn't one

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119680565#!/compare/1467331200/1467676800

"vCzK_" is a broker -> http://i.imgur.com/abDDhYz.png

Any pertinent comments are welcome.