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only 1 CLEAN sale, soo outdated, such overpriced
Sold for 115 pure, not a qs as the seller had a bo of 130 for ~2 months
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081267696#!/compare/1471910400/1472860800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28313432
When you look at the history of the hat, it dosen't seem he had bo for 2 months. For me, it's a qs.
I sold a duped one for two haunted ghosts texas ten gallon and a kill a watt killer exclusive. I then sold the KE with a buyout of 90, and sold the two texas ten gallon for a buyout of 40 each. I don't know how relevant that is considering the unsold you mentionned, but it might be worth considering a duped one sold for quite a lot more than this suggested price. :)
if a dupe sold significantly higher than this then it can be used to give this a range. Kinda depends on other duped sales, though. If dupes averagely sell lower than the clean one, then your sale is probably an outlier.
The sale magic guy mentioned is this one here:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019782842#!/compare/1472342400/1472428800
There aren't any other usable sales, so we'll probably have to wait until another one gets sold.
New sales here: http://backpack.tf/item/4507736090
No other sales here that are usable besides the two mentioned. It was just used in lottos many times (which honestly supports the drop).
The only other sales are the duped one you know about -
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019782842#!/compare/1472342400/1472428800 - ~175
And the rest are all trade ups for - beams wraith, PE crones, searing cardbeard, etc.
In the context of the clean trade up for months, the 175 looks like the outlier here. Really not seeing any offers over 115 to suggest that 115 in pure is the outlier.