Sale 1 wasn't a bulk for the pan. It was sold for 280 pure - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28420966

I'm guessing the VVF sale is going to be under 400 as well.

Mini for VVF

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994263299#!/compare/1474156800/1474329600 ~340 - see below

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230359596#!/compare/1474329600/1474416000 - 315

Mini for Beams Peak

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/57d28063c440451e22182825 - 780-840 (he never resuggested)

Mini duped disco antlers 200-240

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086312574#!/compare/1470787200/1470873600 ~240

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28380549 - 200 pure

500 looks like the outlier here. Maybe best to wait for another sale here. That's two sales under 300 and a b/o of 400 to counter your 500 sale. Or you could mini this at 280 pure and use this to give the vvf a range