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Orbiting Planets Lucky Shot
I thought this would drop more, but I swear people use bp.tf prices too faithfully. Anyways, the suggestion:
Sellers:
http://imgur.com/a/82JIy
20 keys ~ new, owned for around a week and a half now
21 keys ~ 3 months+ unsold
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097135729#!/compare/1472169600/1472256000
Sold for a DBD Larrikin Robin (updated yesterday at 20)
X = 20
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097135729#!/compare/1472256000/1472342400
Sold for a Spec KS Aussie Black Box (15) + 5.5 pure
15 + 5.5 = 20.5, rounding to 21
X = 21
Sale 3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018456402#!/compare/1473984000/1474070400
Sold for a Kill-a-Watt Head Warmer (open suggestion at 27) + a Strange Spec KS Minigun (~1)
X = 28
Sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094132328#!/compare/1471824000/1471910400
Sold with 2 keys for a Sulphurous Stately Steel Toe (recently updated at 25) [3rd key doesn't match histories]
25 - 2 = 23
X = 23
Sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094132328#!/compare/1473379200/1473465600
Sold for a Searing Plasma Doctor’s Sack (20)
X = 20
Sale 6:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208448312#!/compare/1473552000/1473638400
Sold for 19 keys pure
Summary:
Sales at:
20
21
28
23
20
19
28 definitely seems like a high outlier, so not using that sale. Everything else looks fine, using all other sales.
Final Range: 19-23