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Purple Confetti Stately Steel Toe
You know what, thanks for that Pampick. I knew my math was gonna end up wrong somewhere and it happened to be on the Miami sale. Decent amount of proof goes to Xergoyf from http://backpack.tf/suggestion/57eb3b5483de6b59f7171832 so credit to him for sales 1 and 2.
Sale 1:
Sold for 11 keys.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068136257#!/compare/1468281600/1468972800
Sale 2:
Sold for a Miami Nights Stately Steel Toe and 2 keys.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046941961#!/compare/1472860800/1473033600
Sale 3:
Sold for a Strange Professional Killstreak Backwoods Boomstick Shotgun (Factory New).
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108094239#!/compare/1468886400/1468972800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068136257#!/compare/1468281600/1468972800
This is the sale directly after sale 1, so reshowing the sale here to show that the keys and history matches.
Which then proceeded to sell for 11 keys.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108094239#!/compare/1468972800/1469059200
This history change shows 13 keys but it looks like that it only sold for 11.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068136257#!/compare/1468972800/1470528000
A sale at 11, a sale at 12, and a probable sale at ~11 keys. Rolling with 11-12 keys.