Sale 1:

Sold for Steaming Festive Tree (20)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28457587 – B/O of 18

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1472688000/1472774400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071713766#!/compare/1472688000/1472774400

Was using in the steaming tree suggestion, however, it was an outlier, so it can be used here (I think)

X = 18 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Searing Jumper’s Jeepcap (Indate, but mini at 22.5 below anyways)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28493421 - B/O of 18

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1474934400/1475020800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208387797#!/compare/1474934400/1475107200

X = 18 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold with minor sweets for Purple Confetti Defiant Spartan (Mini at 17 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28426888 - B/O of 16

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209342796#!/compare/1471651200/1471737600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286246085#!/compare/1471564800/1471737600

X = 16 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Quicksold for 15 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28426620

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152925445#!/compare/1471564800/1471824000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209342796#!/compare/1471478400/1471564800

X = 15

Sale 5:

Sold for 14 keys + 3 ref

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175752146#!/compare/1471564800/1471996800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152925445#!/compare/1471478400/1471564800

X = 14

Sale 6:

Quicksold for 14 keys to a buyer (Buyer’s Outpost trade listed below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28433999 - B/O of 17

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286246085#!/compare/1471737600/1471824000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1471737600/1471824000

X = 14

Searing Jeepcap Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/57f1a4b683de6b70b0262e64

Buyer at 14 keys;

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26632089 - Currently closed, however, the user had a buy order on the classifieds, which was active during most of the time I owned the unusual.

Sellers:

22 keys:

http://puu.sh/rvMwS/e9e1d0345c.png

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043992035

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28519472 - young

Purple Confetti Defiant Spartan Mini:

Sold for Bubbling Cloud Crasher (17.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071657158#!/compare/1474675200/1475366400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1474588800/1474675200

And two current sellers at 17 each:

http://puu.sh/rvMUH/34a4b4f753.png

Going with 17 for the Spartan

Sales at:

14

15

16

18 (2x)

14 is low due to the buyer, excluding 14.

15 quicksold, excluding 15.

Going with 16-18.