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Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28203984 - b/o: 15 keys (3 months)
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28056784
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060313793#!/compare/1472169600/1473811200 - sold with sweets for 20 keys = 13 keys (took 5 months)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024867201#!/compare/1472515200/1472601600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116427955#!/compare/1472515200/1472601600 - sold for 19 keys (outlier)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zOs-0OfVjLsNYAmMa8_tvi2tA9Rrnok7nEUqDOQuls0/edit#gid=0 r+ubi quickbuys this hat for 14 keys
for that matter scrap.tf should buy it for around 13 keys, they normally offer about 70-75% of backpack price
This is really low. Not only is it a really bad sale to use due to the cash-out concept seen here, but even quickbuyers pay more than this as pie mentioned.
More sales:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183190958#!/compare/1470787200/1470873600 Sold for a Blizzardy Geisha + ~.5 in Sweets
http://backpack.tf/item/2872131049
This sale would fit on the range, or at worst it could be used to support the geisha.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1474243200/1474329600 Sold for 14 Keys and ~1 in Sweets(15 Keys total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024867201#!/compare/1472515200/1472601600 Sold for 19 Keys and minor sweets
With two pure sales at 19, it shouldn't be discarded from the range. 15-19 will be better.