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Stupid mistakes are stupid.
Usable Sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995#!/compare/1474243200/1474329600 - seller
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163565717#!/compare/1474070400/1474329600 - buyer
Sold with 17 keys for a Ether Trail Smokey Sombrero (43.5 keys, open suggestion) + Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Wrench (26.5 keys)
= 53 keys
The price seems absolutely delirious to me in terms of effect, as burning's low-end is ten keys away. I've bought and sold many unusual toques, and I don't think I'd be able to pull 53 keys for a SFB one. But it's worth what people are willing to pay for it.
Yeah, 53 sounds way too high here.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163565717#!/compare/1476057600/1476144000 - sold again at 40 (and actually this is probably less than 40. reselling fez at 38)
54 seems high maybe because the sombrero was priced too highly. There's a seller for that at 35 and another at 40. I would probably go with 40 flat here.
But shouldn't this get a range of 40 (or realistically 38, since he's reselling the fez for that which means he can't value it any higher) - 53 then? I mean according to the unusual suggestion guide the value of an item at the time of the sale should be used, the Sombrero was stable for quite a long time, including the point in time when this sale occured.
I also don't really see how this is high either, it's a 1:1 hat with a halloween effect.
Well, the concern here is that the sombrero is off making this off. The sombrero suggestion was accepted recently but the 35 seller has been up for a while now. Could be 5-10 keys too high there. But yeah, you are welcome to go 40-53. May wait for one more sale on this to see if 53 is actually too high.
I would also wait for more sales here but seeing that the current owner doesn't seem like the most active trader and the fact that it's currently not being advertised anywhere I doubt that it'll sell anytime soon so I'll resuggest now, I guess it can be left up for a while to see if it actually doesn't resell soon.