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1 year old price is outdated.
Seller with a b/o of 11 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28522331
Lowering based purely on b/os as anything over 11 keys is clearly out of the appropriate price range of the hat.
Note:
Only 1 recent sale in witch the hat was added as sweets: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088266191#!/compare/1475452800/1475539200
1 day old listing would need to mature in any case and scm buyers for any effect kinda counter this price. wouldn't be at all surprised if it quicksells
We allow drops in unusuals based on b/os alone only if the trade has been up for a significant amount of time (in this case at least 1 week) AND if the drop is by more than 15%. Unfortunately this one meets neither criteria.