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"Any hat can be priced based on a single sale if ALL these criteria are met:

- There are no other recent sales in the last 3 months

- The hat went to a collector or person who intends to keep the hat. A collector can be identified by looking at the person's trade history, item history of similar unusuals in the backpack OR if the owner has not resold the hat 1 month after the sale occurred."

Sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28468887 (relist of a B/O at 50)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197969935601#!/compare/1473379200/1473465600

Sold for Spe Aussi GL (16 on classies) + Smoking Guard + 5 keys. (Paint was applied on the Trilby)

x = 16 + 13 + 5 = 34 keys flat price

Mini on Guard

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28518227 12 for a duped seems to be a QS

Clean seller at 13.5, leaving it at actual price of 13

Any pertinent comments are welcome.