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Searing Plasma Hot Dogger
Everyone has been selling this for much less for a while, needed update
Sellers:
http://imgur.com/a/zbbYJ
43 - 4 days, fairly young
49 - new
50 - 10 days unsold
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101610113#!/compare/1474761600/1474934400
Sold with a Strange Specialized Killstreak Gold Botkiller Minigun Mk.I (3) and a Strange Thermal Tracker (2) for an Aces High Patriot Peak (50, see mini below)
50 - 3 - 2 = 45
X = 45
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079768413#!/compare/1473120000/1473465600
Sold for a Haunted Ghosts A Rather Festive Tree (55, indate)
X = 55
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079768413#!/compare/1472947200/1473120000
Sold for a Terror-Watt Modest Pile of Hat (48) and 21 keys of sweets
48 + 21 = 69
X = 70 (rounded)
Not gonna bother doing a mini, this is likely a super high outlier, not using
Sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079639768#!/compare/1471996800/1472169600
Sold for a Purple Confetti Your Worst Nightmare
Needed more for the Nightmare, not using here
Sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065941314#!/compare/1474070400/1474156800
Sold for 39.5 keys
X = 40 (rounded)
Sale 6:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065941314#!/compare/1474156800/1475280000
Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Powdered Practitioner (60, indate)
X = 60
Sale 7:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016951064#!/compare/1475798400/1475884800
Sold for 42 keys pure
Minis:
Aces High Patriot Peak:
http://imgur.com/a/dI7cM
2 months unsold at 50
While the peak is technically indate, its obvious 63 isnt the common trading point due to the sellers selling for less. Taking the unsold at 50.
Summary:
Sales at:
45
55
70
40
60
42
Since the sellers at 43 is fairly young, not capping sales at that. Throwing out the sales at 55, 60 and 70, as they are higher than the current sellers (specifically the 1.5 week unsold at 50). Using the rest of the sales.
Final Price: 40-45
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113853563#!/compare/1471046400/1471910400 - rotation was just updated based on an all pure sale, so this will come out to 48
I'd probably include it in the range here?
Histories don't match on that sale, didn't use because of that
Oh, it actually sold for 40 pure. Okay, should be good here