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Knifestorm Dead Cone
Submitted by K1ng
~862.5 keys
knife
Unusual Dead Cone Knifestorm
109 votes up
13 votes down
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Comments

Using duped sales to establish a more solid range.


Sale 1 (clean)


Sold with a Strange PKS Scattergun (~8) for a DBD Soldered Sensei (40)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1475971200/1476057600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048311062#!/compare/1475971200/1476057600

No Outpost trade.


=======> 40 - 8 = 32 keys

======================================================


Sale 2 (duped)


Sold for a Searing Bandana (mini at 28) + 15 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1474156800/1474243200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28488686 ----- B/O was 45 keys


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Mini for the Bandana: Sold for a Planets Napoleon (14) + 11 keys + ~3 keys in mixed refs/sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299#!/compare/1470182400/1470268800

----------------------------------------------


=======> 28 + 15 = 43 keys

======================================================


Sale 3 (duped)


Sold for a TWatt Phantom (mini at 33)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139744134#!/compare/1471737600/1471824000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28433005 ----- B/O was "40-45 keys"


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Mini for the Phantom: Sold for Purple Confetti Brigade + Bubbling Trib

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176125115#!/compare/1474070400/1474156800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28466883 ----- B/O was 33 keys


Should easily cap at the B/O of 33.

----------------------------------------------


=======> 33 keys

======================================================


Sale 4 (duped)


Sold for a EHP Phononaut (mini at 35)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123389475#!/compare/1471564800/1471651200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28388477 ----- B/O was 40 keys


----------------------------------------------

Mini for the Phononaut: Sold with ~3 keys in sweets for a Cloud 9 Bloke's (outdated at 21) + TWatt Conquistador (outdated at 18)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064369627#!/compare/1470441600/1470528000


Should be close to current price of 35.

----------------------------------------------


=======> 35 keys

======================================================


Sale 5 (duped)


Sold for 39 keys + ~1 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961172123#!/compare/1469750400/1469836800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28306388 ----- B/O was 40


=======> 40 keys

======================================================


Sellers


- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28535693 ----- No B/O here, 40 in classies ( http://imgur.com/a/EUURO )


Summary


- Sales for 32 (clean), 33 (duped), 35 (duped), 40 (duped), 43 (duped)

- Three of the duped sales had B/Os of 40 keys.


Going with 32-40 keys. The low-end is the most recent (and only valid) clean sale, while the high-end is a full pure duped sale, with two other sales in between. The range should represent the common trading point here.


Criticism appreciated!

    Still seems low, but nice proof. Upvote

      Update: I ended up selling my clean one for 34 pure

        Thanks for the info.


        I'm guessing that this range is fine then.

        Sale 5 is now outdated, but sale 2 still supports the high-end of 40 (should be capped given the B/Os for 40).


        There are sales for 32, 33, 34, 35, 40. Don't know if i should resuggest to 32-35 or something.