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Using duped sales to establish a more solid range.
Sale 1 (clean)
Sold with a Strange PKS Scattergun (~8) for a DBD Soldered Sensei (40)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1475971200/1476057600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048311062#!/compare/1475971200/1476057600
No Outpost trade.
=======> 40 - 8 = 32 keys
======================================================
Sale 2 (duped)
Sold for a Searing Bandana (mini at 28) + 15 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1474156800/1474243200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28488686 ----- B/O was 45 keys
----------------------------------------------
Mini for the Bandana: Sold for a Planets Napoleon (14) + 11 keys + ~3 keys in mixed refs/sweets
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299#!/compare/1470182400/1470268800
----------------------------------------------
=======> 28 + 15 = 43 keys
======================================================
Sale 3 (duped)
Sold for a TWatt Phantom (mini at 33)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139744134#!/compare/1471737600/1471824000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28433005 ----- B/O was "40-45 keys"
----------------------------------------------
Mini for the Phantom: Sold for Purple Confetti Brigade + Bubbling Trib
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176125115#!/compare/1474070400/1474156800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28466883 ----- B/O was 33 keys
Should easily cap at the B/O of 33.
----------------------------------------------
=======> 33 keys
======================================================
Sale 4 (duped)
Sold for a EHP Phononaut (mini at 35)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123389475#!/compare/1471564800/1471651200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28388477 ----- B/O was 40 keys
----------------------------------------------
Mini for the Phononaut: Sold with ~3 keys in sweets for a Cloud 9 Bloke's (outdated at 21) + TWatt Conquistador (outdated at 18)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064369627#!/compare/1470441600/1470528000
Should be close to current price of 35.
----------------------------------------------
=======> 35 keys
======================================================
Sale 5 (duped)
Sold for 39 keys + ~1 in sweets
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961172123#!/compare/1469750400/1469836800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28306388 ----- B/O was 40
=======> 40 keys
======================================================
Sellers
- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28535693 ----- No B/O here, 40 in classies ( http://imgur.com/a/EUURO )
Summary
- Sales for 32 (clean), 33 (duped), 35 (duped), 40 (duped), 43 (duped)
- Three of the duped sales had B/Os of 40 keys.
Going with 32-40 keys. The low-end is the most recent (and only valid) clean sale, while the high-end is a full pure duped sale, with two other sales in between. The range should represent the common trading point here.
Criticism appreciated!
Still seems low, but nice proof. Upvote
Update: I ended up selling my clean one for 34 pure
Thanks for the info.
I'm guessing that this range is fine then.
Sale 5 is now outdated, but sale 2 still supports the high-end of 40 (should be capped given the B/Os for 40).
There are sales for 32, 33, 34, 35, 40. Don't know if i should resuggest to 32-35 or something.