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The stash is kind of outdated and many people are selling for way below the price of what it is now.
The first sale would be around 32 keys
Proof #1
http://i.imgur.com/kTmAVHj.png <---- It was sold clean for 32 keys . Clean soldier stash.
Proof # 2
http://i.imgur.com/PZJ82z1.png
http://i.imgur.com/u9hFWRS.png <----- Sold for 34 keys .
Proof # 3 (On progress will update. )
One seller at 36 keys and one at 45 keys .
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Soldier's%20Stash/Tradable/Craftable/12
If there is anything i could improve on this suggestion comment below. I will read every comment.
Nothing gets me better than pure sales. Upvote.
http://imgur.com/a/WbK9g
There is a trade where massed flies stash sold for 42 keys lucky shot and strange spec ks kritzkrieg (as 15 keys), so this hat costs obviously more than 34 or smth.
http://imgur.com/a/Rhalg
And snother huge trade, where another massed flies soldier stash was sold for better price.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057036772#!/compare/1474761600/1474848000 - sale at 38 pure here
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040423618#!/compare/1477785600/1477958400 - ~57 is likely an outlier
Honestly, given that you could flip it within a day for 34 pure, I would probably call 32 low. Maybe a range of 34-38