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Cloud 9 Galvanized Gibus
Another hat that has been selling for much less for a while now, needs an update
Selling:
http://imgur.com/a/ROupo
75 ~ 1.5 weeks
95 ~ 1 week
Both fairly young for a hat of this value, not capping anything at sellers, but they support the drop.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062802524#!/compare/1471824000/1471910400
Sold for a duped Burning Flames Triboniophorus Tyrannus (92, see mini below) + Strange Festive Eyelander (2) + Strange Specialized Killstreak Silver Botkiller Sniper Rifle Mk.II (1) + Strange Mistaken November (1)
92 + 2 + 1 + 1 = 96
X = 96
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198237857472#!/compare/1473033600/1473120000
Sold for a Dead Presidents Polar Pullover (78, indate) + 4 keys pure (5th key doesn't match histories)
78 + 4 = 82
X = 82
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198237857472#!/compare/1473724800/1473811200
Sold with 6 keys pure (first 2 keys don't match) for a Terror-Watt Killer Exclusive (open suggestion at 120)
120 - 6 = 114
X = 114
Minis:
Duped Burning Flames Triboniophorus Tyrannus
No usable duped minis; however the hat was recently updated at 92, so taking current price should be fine.
Sales at:
96
82
114
114 is definitely too high, given sellers. Using rest.
Final Range 82 - 96
this seems high
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28522410
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28542355
unsold at 75.
It may seem a bit high, but the sales seem to show against that. Keep in mind unsolds for a hat of this value needs to be around 3 weeks (25 keys per week). Since that unsold is only 1.5 weeks I didn't cap anything (as I said in the suggestion)
can't ignore sellers for lower, 1.5 weeks is not considered young
Is there something I'm missing here? You are supposed to wait 1 week for every 25 keys of the hats value, which would be 3 weeks for this. That seller has only been selling half of that time.