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Sale 1:
Sold for 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28446990 - B/O of 18
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018528305#!/compare/1473552000/1473638400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058249606#!/compare/1472947200/1474934400
X = 18
Sale 2: (dupe)
Sold for 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28540085 - B/O of 18
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1476489600/1476576000
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114393947#!/compare/1476489600/1476576000
http://imgur.com/a/c6gI4
X = 18
Sale 3: (dupe)
Sold for 17 keys in ~2-3 days
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237#!/compare/1473120000/1473206400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122038981#!/compare/1473206400/1473379200
X = 17
Sales at:
17
18 (2x)
No current sellers
Purchased for 15 keys via my buy order
Excluding sale at 17 as it is a dupe sale, it sold in a short-ish amount of time, and sales at 18 are more common.
Going with 18 flat
Looks fine to me. upvote.