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Aces High Dragonborn Helmet.
Another day, another 2 year outdated hat.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069093971#!/compare/1474848000/1475107200
Sold for an Aussie Flamethrower (15) + 3 keys sweets
15 + 3 = 18
X = 18
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069093971#!/compare/1475107200/1475193600
Sold for a Terror-Watt Sergeant's Drill Hat (20.5, updated today)
X = 21 (rounded)
Both sales seem fine, using both
Final Range: 18-21